Dear Stats: I hate you

I wrote my first exam since 2003, and I blew it. I know by now that everyone says this after writing a test, but I have a good sense of these things, and I am pretty sure that I blew it.

All is lost?

Not quite. The test is only worth 20%, and I just need to work harder for the next one. Secondly, I know how these exams are structured now, and I realize that my prof for this class is your classic “aside prof.” The “aside” prof is the prof whose lectures seem somewhat random, until you figure out that every little “aside” is going to be on the test. The opposite of this is the prof who will still provide the class with the enlightening aside, but pens go down when the aside happens. For future lectures, I will be eagerly anticipating these asides while keeping a separate log of them for studying purposes.

The thing is, I should have know that this was an “Aside Prof,” and here is how: the exam was open notes (that is, you could bring your notes into the exam). This should have immediately queued me into the fact that “open notes” equals “I will not be asking you anything on this test that will be in your notes, so if it makes you feel better, bring ’em in.”

I will also admit to being complacent, thinking that my notes would somehow enlighten me mid-test (I even produced a glossary of terms and my notes had a freaking table of contents!). I should have spent more time reading between the lines, so to speak. It’s not as if my notes were completely useless – without them, it would have been a blood bath.

I made a rookie mistake, and it cost me (I wager that I will get between 60-70%). I learned my lesson, and if I do poorly on the next one, it will be my own (@#$#%) fault.

“I thought of maybe quittin'”

I am about to enter… stats hell. I have an exam that I have been studying for over a week now. I am either totally over prepared, or I may get called on the fact that I don’t get a word of this shit. Or maybe I do…

Interval Estimates: Point estimation ignores sampling variability  An interval estimate of a parameter is a range of values of the sample estimates that has known probability of containing the parameter. Example: Constructing a confidence interval around a Mean The notion of an interval estimate of a parameter $\theta$with a confidence coefficient is assumed to be familiar. A point estimate, on its own, doesn’t convey any indication of reliability, but a point estimate together with its standard error would do so. This idea is incorporated into a confidence interval, which is a range of values within which we are “fairly confident” that the true (unknown) value of the parameter $\theta$lies. The length and location of the interval are random variables and we cannot be certain that $\theta$will actually fall within the limits evaluated from a single sample. So the object is to generate narrow intervals which include $\theta$with a high probability.

 errr.. wish me luck.

In other news: my iPod is broken. Again. I have had the thing for about two years… wait I had one, it broke after a year, so I sent it back and this is my second one, and it seems to be broken again. I call bullshit.

Finally (before I go to die), Borat didn’t make it to Lethbridge or Calgary this week. Argh. I’ve been waiting to see this movie since the Summer, and I have let the hype and the brillant publicity and promotion work me into a frenzy. I was even going to get a sitter for my son so I could go see it tonight, and NOTHING!!

Movie blue-balls.

Question: what do you want for Xmas?

Insert: Tragically Hip // Quote: “It’s not the band I hate / It’s their fans”

It could have been the Willie Nelson, or perhaps it could have been the wine, but after many years of disinterest in The Tragically Hip, I think I have come full circle.

You see, when I was in the fourth Grade, my family moved to a little city in Manitoba entitled Brandon. Now, Brandon at the time (mid 80’s) was a run down, shitty little place that lived inbetween Regina and Winnipeg, and acted as the storm drain for both (not literally). I liked it there – it was my first exposure to a comic book store, which I used to ride my bike to all the time and drool at the comic books that were kept behind glass.

More importantly for me was the fact that Brandon had access to MuchMusic, something that was completely alien to me at the time. I was obsessed with it, and frequently pretended to be sick so that I could stay home and watch it all day (hi Mom!).  This was one of the key developing factors in my lifelong love of popular music.

What was cool about MuchMusic (in the day) was that they used to actually play music videos (except for that one gameshow they had hosted by Dan Galager(sp), which was like a cross between “Rock and Roll Jeopardy” and the Gong show) . On top of that, they used to play weirdo videos all the time – (remember that video for “Fish Heads?”)

My two favourite video’s at the time were two Canadian ones: The Pursuit of Happiness’ “I’m An Adult Now” and The Tragically Hip’s “New Orleans is Sinking,” (which, when I think about it now, is still one of my favourite video’s , specifically for the part the bum drinks the fish bowl water, and may have accidently swallowed the gold fish).

In grade four I used to say that my favourite band was the Tragically Hip were my favourite. Then I discovered hip hop; alternative: punk:  hardcore: emo: indie: jazz; The Beach Boys… I got very far away from the Hip, and yet I find myself back where it all started.

You see, I never esisted The Hip:I have been aware of their new stuff here and there, I even saw them live once. I just never felt the urge to buy a cd or even download some songs. I just didn’t ever really think about them. Perhaps it was their fan base (Canadian Hip fans, in general, tend to be a tad mookish, not unlike American Dave Mathews fans)? Probably.
Last week I heard the new single, “In View” and I like it a lot. Yesterday, when I was in a cheapie used CD store, I found the two disk “Yer Favourites” compilation, and felt compelled to buy it and catch up. I have been listening to it non-stop since. There is a higher quality than I remember a lot of songs having. As well, I am hearing some songs for the first time, and a high number of them are blowing my mind a little.

Thus: Tragically Hip, I am back. Where should I hang my jacket?

You could look better: Phd photo

Dear me:

So you took the afternoon away from studying to watch “Flags of Our Fathers.” Did you enjoy it? Exactly. I too thought that this film was bloated, redundant, and save for a few decent scenes, was not enjoyed. Clint Eastwood apparently makes “good” movies, but this is two stinkers in a row (yes “Million Dollar Baby” is way, way overrated, and this one is worse).

So you get back to your grouphome (client away, house to yourself) and you get an email with the following picture in it:

And you sit there for a while, and you want to cry, but that isn’t really the emotion you are going for. Disgust? Pitty? Anger? Embarrassment?

Sir, you could look better. Let’s start with those glasses: they look stupid. It is time for some new ones. What is with that look on your face? That haircut? That shitty shave job? That wrinkled shirt?

Most of all, you look as bloated as “Flags of Our Fathers.” Sir, no one likes to look at bloat. Time to start running again, and to stop eating movie popcorn and it is time that you grew up and stopped eating all that candy. It’s rediculous.

I’m giving you until Christmas.

Mind map: Small Wonder (80’s TV show)

Here is a map of my procrastination:

1) Read RSS feeds on Bloglines for 40 minutes.

2) See a post on 80’s Halloween Costumes, follow link

3) See the following costume of Vicky the robot from Small Wonder

4) Wonder to self “I wonder if YouTube has any Small Wonder Episodes?

5) YouTube has many.

6) Watch on in its entirety (30 minutes)

7) Blog and link episodes.

Part 1 – Small Wonder – “Brindies Move In”

Part 2

Part 3